Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | GASO -700 ULM +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +8 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | GASO -9.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -7.3 (+0.7) | 150.8 (+21.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -7.3 (+0.7) | 149.2 (+22.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -8.2 (-0.2) | 150.0 (+22.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -7.7 (+0.3) | 148.8 (+23.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | GASO 79 – 76 ULM |
| Jan 6, 2024 | GASO 76 – 68 ULM |
| Mar 3, 2023 | GASO 66 – 57 ULM |
| Jan 20, 2023 | ULM 72 – 59 GASO |
| Feb 26, 2022 | GASO 81 – 75 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-3 | 5-11 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#275) | -11.8 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#173) | -3.05 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#220) | -3.82 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#164) | 0.343 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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