Betting Lines
| Spread | ULM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | ULM -150 GASO +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | ULM -6.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ULM -3.4 (-11.4) | 135.2 (+8.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ULM -4.0 (-12.0) | 136.5 (+7.5) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -4.5 (-12.5) | 136.4 (+7.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -3.6 (-11.6) | 136.5 (+7.5) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | GASO 79 – 76 ULM |
| Jan 3, 2025 | GASO 90 – 82 ULM |
| Mar 3, 2023 | GASO 66 – 57 ULM |
| Jan 20, 2023 | ULM 72 – 59 GASO |
| Feb 26, 2022 | GASO 81 – 75 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#319) | -11.2 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#321) | -2.74 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#313) | -2.98 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#310) | 0.358 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 25.4% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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