Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | GASO -160 ULM +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +6 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | GASO -4.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -2.9 (+3.1) | 137.7 (+18.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -2.8 (+3.2) | 135.2 (+20.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -3.5 (+2.5) | 136.9 (+19.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -3.2 (+2.8) | 137.6 (+18.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | GASO 79 – 76 ULM |
| Jan 3, 2025 | GASO 90 – 82 ULM |
| Jan 6, 2024 | GASO 76 – 68 ULM |
| Mar 3, 2023 | GASO 66 – 57 ULM |
| Jan 20, 2023 | ULM 72 – 59 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.6 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#256) | -6.9 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#237) | -0.67 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#250) | -0.83 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#270) | 0.475 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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