Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | GASO -227 ULM +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +9 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | GASO -5.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -4.7 (+4.3) | 135.7 (-12.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -4.4 (+4.6) | 134.0 (-11.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -4.6 (+4.4) | 135.4 (-12.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -4.5 (+4.5) | 137.5 (-14.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | GASO 79 – 76 ULM |
| Jan 3, 2025 | GASO 90 – 82 ULM |
| Jan 6, 2024 | GASO 76 – 68 ULM |
| Jan 20, 2023 | ULM 72 – 59 GASO |
| Feb 26, 2022 | GASO 81 – 75 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#208) | -6.9 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#212) | -1.13 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#218) | -1.21 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#206) | 0.449 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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