Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | GASO -350 ULM +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +13 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | GASO -9.8 (-22.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -7.2 (-20.2) | 136.0 (-5.0) | 76% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GASO -5.8 (-18.8) | 134.9 (-3.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | GASO -6.6 (-19.6) | 137.1 (-6.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -6.4 (-19.4) | 137.1 (-6.1) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | GASO 79 – 76 ULM |
| Jan 3, 2025 | GASO 90 – 82 ULM |
| Jan 6, 2024 | GASO 76 – 68 ULM |
| Mar 3, 2023 | GASO 66 – 57 ULM |
| Feb 26, 2022 | GASO 81 – 75 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#215) | -8.1 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#183) | -0.91 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#189) | -1.07 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#174) | 0.452 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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