See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · January 3, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -9.5 Away covered
O/U 155.5 Over
Money QUC -650 / STET +425
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual QUC +9 183 Won
Massey QUC -13.7 (-4.7) — —
Massey Totals — 149.9 (+33.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUC -10.7 (-1.7) 148.7 (+34.3) 85% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUC -8.3 (+0.7) 151.7 (+31.3) 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -10.3 (-1.3) 148.7 (+34.3) 88% ✓
Baseline ML QUC -11.0 (-2.0) 151.1 (+31.9) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 QUC 87 – 81 STET
Jan 17, 2025 QUC 95 – 60 STET
Mar 6, 2024 STET 83 – 71 QUC
Feb 23, 2024 QUC 83 – 75 STET
Jan 13, 2024 STET 84 – 66 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC STET
Overall 20-15 8-24
Conference 11-7 6-12
Home 9-5 5-9
Away 9-9 3-11
Neutral 2-1 0-4
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 75.9 69.9
Avg Pts Against 76.3 81.9
Massey -6.0 (#270) -15.5 (#355)
Bradley-Terry -0.46 (#215) -4.63 (#364)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.96 (#239) -6.62 (#364)
RPI 0.476 (#213) 0.368 (#352)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC STET
FG% 42.2% 40.8%
3PT% 32.8% 31.6%
REB / G 35.9 33.1
OREB / G 10.7 9.4
AST / TO 1.06 0.75
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 47.0%
TOV% 20.2% 20.3%
ORB% 27.7% 25.7%
FT Rate 19.5% 20.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.8% 53.9%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 13.6%
DRB% 67.1% 64.9%
Opp FT Rate 19.9% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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