Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | STET +390 QUC -520 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +6 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | QUC -8.3 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -8.6 (+2.6) | 154.8 (+13.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -7.9 (+1.9) | 161.3 (+6.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -6.8 (+0.8) | 155.2 (+12.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -6.8 (+0.8) | 156.5 (+11.5) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2025 | QUC 95 – 60 STET |
| Jan 3, 2025 | QUC 96 – 87 STET |
| Mar 6, 2024 | STET 83 – 71 QUC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | QUC 83 – 75 STET |
| Jan 13, 2024 | STET 84 – 66 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-14 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 83.8 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#344) | -1.7 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#274) | -0.09 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#277) | -0.14 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#293) | 0.494 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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