Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | QUC -111 STET -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +18 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | STET -1.1 (-16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -2.0 (-16.0) | 152.7 (-2.7) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -0.7 (-17.3) | 153.7 (-3.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -2.8 (-15.2) | 152.9 (-2.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STET -2.4 (-15.6) | 154.2 (-4.2) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | QUC 87 – 81 STET |
| Jan 17, 2025 | QUC 95 – 60 STET |
| Jan 3, 2025 | QUC 96 – 87 STET |
| Mar 6, 2024 | STET 83 – 71 QUC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | QUC 83 – 75 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 11-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-16 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#289) | -1.9 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#220) | 0.32 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#239) | -0.07 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#217) | 0.537 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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