Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | STET -250 QUC +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | STET -6.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -5.5 (+6.5) | 156.9 (-2.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -4.7 (+7.3) | 154.8 (-0.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -4.8 (+7.2) | 155.1 (-1.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STET -4.5 (+7.5) | 156.0 (-2.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | QUC 87 – 81 STET |
| Jan 17, 2025 | QUC 95 – 60 STET |
| Jan 3, 2025 | QUC 96 – 87 STET |
| Feb 23, 2024 | QUC 83 – 75 STET |
| Jan 13, 2024 | STET 84 – 66 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 7-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#218) | -6.0 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#160) | -0.62 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#187) | -0.87 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#140) | 0.485 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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