Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -130 LR +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +1 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -3.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -1.1 (-2.1) | 136.0 (-23.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -2.2 (-3.2) | 134.1 (-21.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -0.4 (-1.4) | 130.6 (-17.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -0.9 (-1.9) | 131.1 (-18.1) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | LR 67 – 65 UTM |
| Feb 4, 2026 | UTM 55 – 52 LR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | LR 82 – 77 UTM |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LR 75 – 57 UTM |
| Feb 7, 2024 | LR 77 – 57 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-12 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#250) | -4.1 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#303) | 0.09 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#297) | 0.03 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#317) | 0.506 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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