Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -305 LR +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +3 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -12.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (-27.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -11.9 (-8.9) | 131.7 (-24.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -9.9 (-6.9) | 132.1 (-25.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -10.2 (-7.2) | 131.9 (-24.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -11.8 (-8.8) | 132.4 (-25.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | LR 67 – 65 UTM |
| Mar 7, 2025 | LR 82 – 77 UTM |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LR 75 – 57 UTM |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LR 57 – 56 UTM |
| Feb 7, 2024 | LR 77 – 57 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-6 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#179) | -10.6 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#137) | -1.32 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#174) | -1.84 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#128) | 0.433 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.