Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | LR -225 UTM +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +5 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | LR -4.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+24.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -2.1 (+2.9) | 134.6 (+24.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -1.8 (+3.2) | 134.9 (+24.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -2.9 (+2.1) | 134.0 (+25.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -3.0 (+2.0) | 135.4 (+23.6) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | LR 67 – 65 UTM |
| Feb 4, 2026 | UTM 55 – 52 LR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LR 75 – 57 UTM |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LR 57 – 56 UTM |
| Feb 7, 2024 | LR 77 – 57 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#224) | -7.6 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#232) | -1.48 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#238) | -2.04 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#209) | 0.455 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.