Betting Lines
| Spread | ARST -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | ODU +500 ARST -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARST +19 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | ARST -14.2 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARST -12.3 (-6.7) | 152.0 (-15.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARST -12.2 (-6.8) | 151.3 (-14.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARST -13.3 (-5.7) | 148.6 (-11.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARST -11.8 (-7.2) | 149.3 (-12.3) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | ODU 75 – 71 ARST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | ARST 90 – 75 ODU |
| Dec 30, 2022 | ARST 60 – 57 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-9 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 78.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#348) | 5.3 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#326) | 1.41 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#307) | 2.15 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#334) | 0.585 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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