Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | PSU -200 NU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +4 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -7.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -5.5 (-1.5) | 145.7 (+18.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -5.3 (-1.3) | 144.1 (+19.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -6.3 (-2.3) | 144.3 (+19.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -6.0 (-2.0) | 145.6 (+18.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | NU 76 – 66 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NU 94 – 73 PSU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | NU 68 – 63 PSU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | NU 76 – 72 PSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | PSU 67 – 65 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#24) | 11.9 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#59) | 1.85 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#52) | 3.03 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#56) | 0.601 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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