Betting Lines
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | NU -110 PSU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -1.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -0.7 (-2.7) | 131.1 (+0.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -1.1 (-3.1) | 128.7 (+3.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -0.9 (-2.9) | 131.4 (+0.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -0.8 (-2.8) | 131.6 (+0.4) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | NU 76 – 66 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NU 94 – 73 PSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | PSU 84 – 80 NU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | NU 68 – 63 PSU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | NU 76 – 72 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#39) | 9.8 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#37) | 1.76 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#42) | 2.26 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#68) | 0.554 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 5.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 18.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.