Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | PSU +115 NU -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +4 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | PSU -1.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -1.4 (-5.4) | 138.3 (+9.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -0.3 (-3.7) | 142.0 (+6.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -0.3 (-4.3) | 143.0 (+5.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -0.2 (-4.2) | 141.2 (+6.8) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | NU 76 – 66 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NU 94 – 73 PSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | PSU 84 – 80 NU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | NU 68 – 63 PSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | PSU 67 – 65 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#109) | 6.9 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#181) | 2.34 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#162) | 3.41 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#219) | 0.592 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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