Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | NU -350 PSU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | NU -6.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -6.5 (-1.5) | 149.9 (-18.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -6.9 (-1.9) | 146.9 (-15.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -6.4 (-1.4) | 148.7 (-17.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -6.3 (-1.3) | 150.5 (-19.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | NU 76 – 66 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NU 94 – 73 PSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | PSU 84 – 80 NU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | NU 76 – 72 PSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | PSU 67 – 65 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#61) | 6.6 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#33) | 0.79 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#30) | 1.32 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#67) | 0.520 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.78 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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