Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | HAW -145 UCSB +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -1.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -1.6 (-4.6) | 135.1 (-10.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -1.3 (-4.3) | 132.6 (-7.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -1.9 (-4.9) | 134.8 (-9.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -1.1 (-4.1) | 135.4 (-10.4) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | HAW 78 – 75 UCSB |
| Jan 18, 2026 | UCSB 77 – 62 HAW |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UCSB 76 – 72 HAW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UCSB 77 – 71 HAW |
| Jan 26, 2024 | UCSB 78 – 61 HAW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-7 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#185) | 1.4 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#182) | -0.37 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#178) | -0.49 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#218) | 0.450 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.