Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -145 ARIZ +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -0.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -1.7 (-6.7) | 139.2 (-0.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -1.7 (-6.7) | 140.0 (-1.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -2.9 (-7.9) | 141.7 (-2.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -1.1 (-6.1) | 140.7 (-1.7) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | ARIZ 77 – 51 CIN |
| Nov 22, 2022 | ARIZ 101 – 93 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 82.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#26) | 18.6 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#58) | 1.41 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#52) | 2.32 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#64) | 0.559 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 42.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 40.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.5% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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