Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -170 MAN +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +8 | 198 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -3.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+51.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -2.1 (+5.9) | 142.5 (+55.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -3.1 (+4.9) | 143.4 (+54.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -2.3 (+5.7) | 142.3 (+55.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -2.2 (+5.8) | 143.3 (+54.7) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIE 74 – 59 MAN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | MAN 78 – 66 SIE |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MAN 70 – 68 SIE |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SIE 68 – 63 MAN |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MAN 67 – 66 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#256) | -4.4 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#193) | -0.18 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#213) | -0.57 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#214) | 0.485 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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