Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MAN +250 SIE -310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +15 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -7.8 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -6.7 (-8.3) | 140.5 (-7.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -6.4 (-8.6) | 139.0 (-6.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -6.2 (-8.8) | 140.6 (-7.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -6.1 (-8.9) | 141.0 (-8.0) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2025 | MAN 78 – 66 SIE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SIE 103 – 95 MAN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MAN 70 – 68 SIE |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SIE 68 – 63 MAN |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MAN 67 – 66 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.6 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#340) | -1.8 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#286) | -0.49 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#298) | -0.64 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#274) | 0.472 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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