Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | MAN -163 SIE +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +5 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | MAN -10.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -7.7 (-12.7) | 138.0 (-7.0) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -6.1 (-11.1) | 139.8 (-8.8) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -7.8 (-12.8) | 133.7 (-2.7) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -7.4 (-12.4) | 134.1 (-3.1) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIE 74 – 59 MAN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | MAN 78 – 66 SIE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SIE 103 – 95 MAN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MAN 70 – 68 SIE |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MAN 67 – 66 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 3-17 |
| Home | 3-10 | 2-12 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 60.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#328) | -17.2 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#326) | -2.67 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#336) | -3.45 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#279) | 0.396 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 24.6% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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