Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MAN -175 SIE +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +12 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | MAN -3.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -4.2 (+7.8) | 149.6 (-5.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -3.0 (+9.0) | 150.3 (-6.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -2.5 (+9.5) | 151.2 (-7.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -2.4 (+9.6) | 151.0 (-7.0) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIE 74 – 59 MAN |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SIE 103 – 95 MAN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MAN 70 – 68 SIE |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SIE 68 – 63 MAN |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MAN 67 – 66 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#237) | -4.2 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#222) | -0.77 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#236) | -0.84 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#210) | 0.490 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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