Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -275 MAN +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +1 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -10.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -7.8 (-8.8) | 137.1 (-4.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -8.2 (-9.2) | 139.5 (-6.5) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -8.6 (-9.6) | 138.7 (-5.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -9.3 (-10.3) | 137.5 (-4.5) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIE 74 – 59 MAN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | MAN 78 – 66 SIE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SIE 103 – 95 MAN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MAN 70 – 68 SIE |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SIE 68 – 63 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#187) | -7.7 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#198) | -1.30 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#180) | -1.93 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#203) | 0.454 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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