Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | DAV -210 DUQ +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -8.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (+14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -6.4 (-0.4) | 133.0 (+15.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -5.8 (+0.2) | 132.3 (+15.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -6.8 (-0.8) | 132.7 (+15.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -7.3 (-1.3) | 133.5 (+14.5) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DAV 67 – 56 DUQ |
| Dec 31, 2025 | DUQ 89 – 83 DAV |
| Feb 8, 2024 | DAV 72 – 59 DUQ |
| Feb 26, 2023 | DAV 71 – 67 DUQ |
| Feb 24, 2022 | DAV 74 – 50 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#111) | -0.9 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#114) | -0.69 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#97) | -0.29 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#121) | 0.466 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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