Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -250 DAV +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +4 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -6.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -6.5 (-10.5) | 145.5 (-7.5) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -4.1 (-8.1) | 143.3 (-5.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -6.1 (-10.1) | 145.9 (-7.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -6.4 (-10.4) | 146.4 (-8.4) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DAV 67 – 56 DUQ |
| Dec 31, 2025 | DUQ 89 – 83 DAV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | DAV 77 – 71 DUQ |
| Feb 8, 2024 | DAV 72 – 59 DUQ |
| Feb 24, 2022 | DAV 74 – 50 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#101) | 1.2 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#107) | 0.13 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#111) | 0.50 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#77) | 0.510 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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