Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +24 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -11.6 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (-15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -11.3 (-12.7) | 139.6 (-15.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -12.0 (-12.0) | 136.7 (-12.7) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -11.9 (-12.1) | 137.6 (-13.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -12.7 (-11.3) | 139.1 (-15.1) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DAV 67 – 56 DUQ |
| Dec 31, 2025 | DUQ 89 – 83 DAV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | DAV 77 – 71 DUQ |
| Feb 8, 2024 | DAV 72 – 59 DUQ |
| Feb 26, 2023 | DAV 71 – 67 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 1-16 | 15-3 |
| Home | 3-11 | 13-1 |
| Away | 1-10 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L17 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#264) | 8.7 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#268) | 2.43 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#259) | 2.56 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#281) | 0.601 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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