Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | DAV -135 DUQ +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +6 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -5.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (+13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -3.6 (-9.6) | 146.3 (+25.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -4.3 (-10.3) | 145.9 (+26.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -5.2 (-11.2) | 148.5 (+23.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -3.6 (-9.6) | 148.3 (+23.7) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DAV 67 – 56 DUQ |
| Jan 4, 2025 | DAV 77 – 71 DUQ |
| Feb 8, 2024 | DAV 72 – 59 DUQ |
| Feb 26, 2023 | DAV 71 – 67 DUQ |
| Feb 24, 2022 | DAV 74 – 50 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#133) | 1.5 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#116) | -0.41 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#110) | -0.68 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#97) | 0.476 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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