Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | STBK +215 W&M -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +7 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | W&M -5.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -4.0 (-3.0) | 149.6 (+9.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -3.2 (-3.8) | 153.9 (+5.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -4.0 (-3.0) | 152.0 (+7.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -4.0 (-3.0) | 151.2 (+7.8) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | W&M 76 – 57 STBK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | STBK 75 – 62 W&M |
| Jan 13, 2024 | STBK 63 – 59 W&M |
| Feb 17, 2023 | STBK 71 – 66 W&M |
| Jan 27, 2023 | W&M 77 – 74 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-9 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#341) | -2.3 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#289) | -0.52 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#302) | -0.17 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#295) | 0.461 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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