Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | W&M +120 STBK -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +4 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | STBK -0.3 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-31.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -1.0 (-3.0) | 146.2 (-24.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -0.1 (-4.1) | 144.3 (-22.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -0.7 (-3.3) | 144.7 (-22.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -0.6 (-3.4) | 145.1 (-23.1) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | W&M 76 – 57 STBK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | W&M 83 – 76 STBK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | STBK 75 – 62 W&M |
| Feb 17, 2023 | STBK 71 – 66 W&M |
| Jan 27, 2023 | W&M 77 – 74 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#307) | -4.0 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#314) | -0.20 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#311) | 0.17 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#329) | 0.479 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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