Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -135 JOES +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +16 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | JOES -0.6 (+16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -0.6 (+15.4) | 148.5 (-18.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -0.6 (+15.4) | 147.2 (-17.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -0.4 (+15.6) | 146.2 (-16.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -0.2 (+15.8) | 147.5 (-17.5) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | SLU 102 – 79 JOES |
| Feb 8, 2025 | JOES 76 – 63 SLU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | JOES 87 – 86 SLU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | SLU 88 – 85 JOES |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SLU 83 – 78 JOES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#153) | 4.9 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#159) | 0.63 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#139) | 0.60 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#169) | 0.530 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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