Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -2800 JOES +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +23 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -27.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -21.7 (+1.3) | 152.5 (+28.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -18.2 (+4.8) | 152.8 (+28.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -20.3 (+2.7) | 154.2 (+26.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -23.5 (-0.5) | 152.3 (+28.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2025 | JOES 76 – 63 SLU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SLU 73 – 57 JOES |
| Feb 10, 2024 | JOES 87 – 86 SLU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | SLU 88 – 85 JOES |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SLU 83 – 78 JOES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 19-0 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 17.5 (#19) | -6.4 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#37) | -0.55 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.74 (#29) | -1.40 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#46) | 0.457 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 44.1 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.1% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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