Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | KC -425 ORU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +23 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | KC -10.4 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -8.5 (+14.5) | 138.0 (+19.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -9.1 (+13.9) | 140.0 (+17.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -8.5 (+14.5) | 138.1 (+18.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -8.4 (+14.6) | 138.6 (+18.4) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | ORU 84 – 62 KC |
| Mar 1, 2026 | ORU 94 – 70 KC |
| Feb 13, 2026 | ORU 69 – 60 KC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | KC 73 – 56 ORU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ORU 73 – 67 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 3-13 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-12 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 82.0 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#227) | -9.9 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#239) | -2.18 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#228) | -2.51 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#240) | 0.404 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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