Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | ORU +140 KC -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +6 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | KC -3.4 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -2.0 (+8.0) | 138.2 (+1.8) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -3.0 (+9.0) | 137.5 (+2.5) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -2.6 (+8.6) | 137.9 (+2.1) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KC -2.6 (+8.6) | 137.9 (+2.1) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | ORU 84 – 62 KC |
| Mar 1, 2026 | ORU 94 – 70 KC |
| Feb 13, 2026 | ORU 69 – 60 KC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | KC 73 – 56 ORU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | KC 90 – 67 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 4-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 0-15 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.0 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#323) | -4.0 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#344) | -1.38 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#339) | -1.36 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#347) | 0.428 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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