I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Summit League · Swinney Center · March 1, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread ORU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Money KC +154 / ORU -185
Model Predictions
Spread Total KC win
Actual ORU +24 164 Lost
Massey ORU -3.4 (-20.6) — —
Massey Totals — 145.7 (+18.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 27% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 25% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ORU -3.7 (-20.3) 145.3 (+18.7) 33% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORU -2.8 (-21.2) 145.0 (+19.0) 37% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ORU -3.5 (-20.5) 141.2 (+22.8) 30% ✓
Baseline ML ORU -3.9 (-20.1) 143.7 (+20.3) 26% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 ORU 84 – 62 KC
Feb 13, 2026 ORU 69 – 60 KC
Mar 6, 2025 KC 73 – 56 ORU
Feb 2, 2025 ORU 73 – 67 KC
Jan 4, 2025 KC 90 – 67 ORU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KC ORU
Overall 4-27 10-23
Conference 1-15 4-12
Home 3-11 7-8
Away 1-15 1-13
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L15 L1
Avg Pts For 67.0 71.8
Avg Pts Against 84.8 79.7
Massey -16.5 (#354) -10.1 (#311)
Bradley-Terry -3.53 (#362) -2.00 (#333)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.02 (#360) -2.32 (#324)
RPI 0.372 (#359) 0.406 (#350)
Shooting & Four Factors KC ORU
FG% 40.8% 41.5%
3PT% 28.3% 30.8%
REB / G 32.4 32.9
OREB / G 10.2 9.9
AST / TO 0.86 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.9% 48.5%
TOV% 18.5% 18.4%
ORB% 26.7% 28.0%
FT Rate 18.9% 26.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.7% 54.7%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 14.9%
DRB% 63.8% 67.6%
Opp FT Rate 22.2% 27.4%

Game Analysis

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