The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Summit League · Swinney Center · March 1, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread ORU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Money KC +154 / ORU -185
Model Predictions
Spread Total KC win
Actual ORU +24 164 Lost
Massey ORU -3.4 (-20.6)
Massey Totals 145.7 (+18.3)
Bradley-Terry 27%
Weighted B-T 25%
Efficiency Plus ML ORU -2.8 (-21.2) 145.0 (+19.0) 37%
Baseline Tuned ML ORU -3.5 (-20.5) 141.2 (+22.8) 30%
Baseline ML ORU -3.9 (-20.1) 143.7 (+20.3) 26%
Baseline Plus ML ORU -3.7 (-20.3) 145.3 (+18.7) 33%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 ORU 8462 KC
Feb 13, 2026 ORU 6960 KC
Mar 6, 2025 KC 7356 ORU
Feb 2, 2025 ORU 7367 KC
Jan 4, 2025 KC 9067 ORU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KC ORU
Overall 4-27 10-23
Conference 1-15 4-12
Home 3-11 7-8
Away 1-15 1-13
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L15 L1
Avg Pts For 67.0 71.8
Avg Pts Against 84.8 79.7
Massey -16.5 (#354) -10.1 (#311)
Bradley-Terry -3.53 (#362) -2.00 (#333)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.02 (#360) -2.32 (#324)
RPI 0.372 (#359) 0.406 (#350)
Shooting & Four Factors KC ORU
FG% 40.8% 41.5%
3PT% 28.3% 30.8%
REB / G 32.4 32.9
OREB / G 10.2 9.9
AST / TO 0.86 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.9% 48.5%
TOV% 18.5% 18.4%
ORB% 26.7% 28.0%
FT Rate 18.9% 26.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.7% 54.7%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 14.9%
DRB% 63.8% 67.6%
Opp FT Rate 22.2% 27.4%

Game Analysis

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