Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | EIU -120 WIU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +8 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | EIU -5.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -2.9 (-10.9) | 136.9 (+5.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -2.2 (-10.2) | 138.0 (+4.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -3.8 (-11.8) | 139.0 (+3.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -3.7 (-11.7) | 139.6 (+2.4) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WIU 79 – 70 EIU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | EIU 57 – 55 WIU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | EIU 71 – 59 WIU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WIU 70 – 66 EIU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WIU 63 – 60 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W4 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#305) | -10.0 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#294) | -1.42 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#295) | -2.78 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#302) | 0.410 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.2% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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