Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | EIU +110 WIU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | EIU -0.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -0.3 (-3.3) | 132.5 (-9.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -0.9 (-2.1) | 131.8 (-8.8) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -0.7 (-2.3) | 132.8 (-9.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -1.1 (-1.9) | 132.9 (-9.9) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WIU 79 – 70 EIU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | EIU 57 – 55 WIU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | EIU 71 – 59 WIU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WIU 75 – 67 EIU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WIU 70 – 66 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#298) | -4.4 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#284) | -0.08 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#302) | -0.03 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#261) | 0.489 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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