Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | WIU -250 EIU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -6.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -5.1 (-1.1) | 132.5 (+3.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -5.1 (-1.1) | 133.3 (+2.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -4.4 (-0.4) | 131.2 (+4.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -4.8 (-0.8) | 131.6 (+4.4) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WIU 79 – 70 EIU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | EIU 57 – 55 WIU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | EIU 71 – 59 WIU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WIU 75 – 67 EIU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WIU 63 – 60 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 10-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#269) | -8.6 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#215) | -1.47 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#198) | -1.86 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#198) | 0.442 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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