Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Ohio Valley Conference · Western Hall · March 1, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WIU -5.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Over
Money WIU -250 / EIU +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIU win
Actual WIU +4 136 Won
Massey WIU -6.7 (-2.7)
Massey Totals 126.0 (+10.0)
Bradley-Terry 84%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML WIU -5.1 (-1.1) 133.3 (+2.7) 69%
Baseline Tuned ML WIU -4.4 (-0.4) 131.2 (+4.8) 66%
Baseline ML WIU -4.8 (-0.8) 131.6 (+4.4) 68%
Baseline Plus ML WIU -5.1 (-1.1) 132.5 (+3.5) 63%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 11, 2026 WIU 7970 EIU
Jan 14, 2026 EIU 5755 WIU
Jan 31, 2025 EIU 7159 WIU
Jan 4, 2025 WIU 7567 EIU
Jan 13, 2024 WIU 6360 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIU EIU
Overall 21-12 14-18
Conference 13-5 8-10
Home 10-5 9-6
Away 10-6 4-11
Neutral 1-1 1-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 66.0 65.3
Avg Pts Against 67.4 70.4
Massey -5.2 (#269) -8.6 (#308)
Bradley-Terry -0.42 (#215) -1.47 (#306)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.37 (#198) -1.86 (#312)
RPI 0.489 (#198) 0.442 (#292)
Shooting & Four Factors WIU EIU
FG% 41.9% 40.1%
3PT% 32.3% 31.2%
REB / G 39.3 34.0
OREB / G 13.8 10.6
AST / TO 0.92 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.9% 44.7%
TOV% 20.3% 15.0%
ORB% 37.4% 27.7%
FT Rate 21.5% 20.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.8% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 14.4% 19.6%
DRB% 71.6% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.2% 27.5%

Game Analysis

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