I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
Ohio Valley Conference · Western Hall · January 31, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WIU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 127.5 Over
Money WIU -125 / EIU +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIU win
Actual EIU +12 130 Lost
Massey WIU -2.3 (-14.3) — —
Massey Totals — 130.4 (-0.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 74% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 72% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WIU -0.8 (-12.8) 128.9 (+1.1) 44% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WIU -0.8 (-12.8) 128.1 (+1.9) 43% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WIU -0.4 (-12.4) 128.9 (+1.1) 52% ✗
Baseline ML WIU -0.6 (-12.6) 129.4 (+0.6) 41% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 11, 2026 WIU 79 – 70 EIU
Jan 14, 2026 EIU 57 – 55 WIU
Jan 4, 2025 WIU 75 – 67 EIU
Mar 1, 2024 WIU 70 – 66 EIU
Jan 13, 2024 WIU 63 – 60 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIU EIU
Overall 12-19 12-19
Conference 6-14 8-12
Home 8-7 7-7
Away 4-11 4-12
Neutral 0-1 1-0
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak W2 W4
Avg Pts For 66.6 63.5
Avg Pts Against 73.3 70.2
Massey -13.0 (#347) -12.0 (#338)
Bradley-Terry -2.29 (#337) -2.72 (#348)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.39 (#349) -3.64 (#353)
RPI 0.382 (#346) 0.367 (#354)
Shooting & Four Factors WIU EIU
FG% 41.7% 40.1%
3PT% 35.8% 31.6%
REB / G 32.0 33.8
OREB / G 10.2 10.9
AST / TO 0.76 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 44.9%
TOV% 17.8% 19.2%
ORB% 29.4% 29.0%
FT Rate 17.3% 21.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.7% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 14.8% 19.6%
DRB% 68.9% 68.7%
Opp FT Rate 23.1% 30.7%

Game Analysis

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