They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
Ohio Valley Conference · Western Hall · January 31, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WIU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 127.5 Over
Money WIU -125 / EIU +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIU win
Actual EIU +12 130 Lost
Massey WIU -2.3 (-14.3)
Massey Totals 130.4 (-0.4)
Bradley-Terry 74%
Weighted B-T 72%
Efficiency Plus ML WIU -0.8 (-12.8) 128.1 (+1.9) 43%
Baseline Tuned ML WIU -0.4 (-12.4) 128.9 (+1.1) 52%
Baseline ML WIU -0.6 (-12.6) 129.4 (+0.6) 41%
Baseline Plus ML WIU -0.8 (-12.8) 128.9 (+1.1) 44%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 11, 2026 WIU 7970 EIU
Jan 14, 2026 EIU 5755 WIU
Jan 4, 2025 WIU 7567 EIU
Mar 1, 2024 WIU 7066 EIU
Jan 13, 2024 WIU 6360 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIU EIU
Overall 12-19 12-19
Conference 6-14 8-12
Home 8-7 7-7
Away 4-11 4-12
Neutral 0-1 1-0
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak W2 W4
Avg Pts For 66.6 63.5
Avg Pts Against 73.3 70.2
Massey -13.0 (#347) -12.0 (#338)
Bradley-Terry -2.29 (#337) -2.72 (#348)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.39 (#349) -3.64 (#353)
RPI 0.382 (#346) 0.367 (#354)
Shooting & Four Factors WIU EIU
FG% 41.7% 40.1%
3PT% 35.8% 31.6%
REB / G 32.0 33.8
OREB / G 10.2 10.9
AST / TO 0.76 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 44.9%
TOV% 17.8% 19.2%
ORB% 29.4% 29.0%
FT Rate 17.3% 21.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.7% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 14.8% 19.6%
DRB% 68.9% 68.7%
Opp FT Rate 23.1% 30.7%

Game Analysis

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