Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | EIU -310 WIU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +2 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -11.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -7.6 (-5.6) | 131.5 (-19.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -8.5 (-6.5) | 131.7 (-19.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -7.9 (-5.9) | 130.2 (-18.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -8.4 (-6.4) | 130.3 (-18.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WIU 79 – 70 EIU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | EIU 71 – 59 WIU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WIU 75 – 67 EIU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WIU 70 – 66 EIU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WIU 63 – 60 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 1-19 |
| Home | 9-6 | 4-11 |
| Away | 3-13 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#287) | -16.4 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#276) | -3.18 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#282) | -4.26 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#268) | 0.362 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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