Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | WIU +164 EIU -198 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -5.8 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -5.1 (+14.1) | 132.0 (+17.0) | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -6.0 (+15.0) | 131.0 (+18.0) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -5.5 (+14.5) | 129.7 (+19.3) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -5.1 (+14.1) | 131.1 (+17.9) | 19% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | EIU 57 – 55 WIU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | EIU 71 – 59 WIU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WIU 75 – 67 EIU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WIU 70 – 66 EIU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WIU 63 – 60 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 8-12 |
| Home | 4-11 | 9-6 |
| Away | 1-15 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -18.9 (#361) | -10.1 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.66 (#363) | -1.49 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.77 (#363) | -2.08 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.359 (#361) | 0.444 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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