Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Mid-American Conference · M.A.C. Center · January 4, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -10.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money KENT -650 / BALL +425
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENT win
Actual BALL +8 142 Lost
Massey KENT -12.5 (-20.5) — —
Massey Totals — 127.0 (+15.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✗
Baseline Plus ML KENT -8.5 (-16.5) 133.4 (+8.6) 73% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENT -9.7 (-17.7) 134.5 (+7.5) 72% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -8.8 (-16.8) 131.6 (+10.4) 81% ✗
Baseline ML KENT -9.5 (-17.5) 130.3 (+11.7) 71% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 KENT 75 – 68 BALL
Mar 6, 2024 BALL 76 – 69 KENT
Jan 3, 2024 KENT 82 – 69 BALL
Feb 22, 2023 BALL 82 – 70 KENT
Jan 20, 2023 KENT 86 – 65 BALL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENT BALL
Overall 24-12 14-17
Conference 11-7 7-11
Home 11-4 8-7
Away 10-6 4-9
Neutral 3-2 1-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 72.5 73.8
Avg Pts Against 68.4 75.2
Massey 2.9 (#116) -5.5 (#263)
Bradley-Terry 1.84 (#62) -1.83 (#317)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.16 (#67) -2.49 (#319)
RPI 0.586 (#52) 0.386 (#343)
Shooting & Four Factors KENT BALL
FG% 37.4% 42.3%
3PT% 26.6% 32.8%
REB / G 36.8 32.6
OREB / G 13.4 7.8
AST / TO 1.01 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.8% 49.1%
TOV% 15.7% 14.3%
ORB% 34.4% 21.8%
FT Rate 21.5% 33.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.7% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 20.8% 15.5%
DRB% 71.6% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 30.5% 29.2%

Game Analysis

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