Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | BALL +138 KENT -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -4.4 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -2.3 (+14.3) | 142.1 (+9.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -3.4 (+15.4) | 140.6 (+11.4) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -2.2 (+14.2) | 140.2 (+11.8) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -2.2 (+14.2) | 141.8 (+10.2) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | KENT 75 – 68 BALL |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BALL 75 – 67 KENT |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BALL 76 – 69 KENT |
| Jan 3, 2024 | KENT 82 – 69 BALL |
| Jan 20, 2023 | KENT 86 – 65 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-2 | 15-0 |
| Away | 6-7 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#151) | 9.0 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#134) | 1.74 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#147) | 1.88 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#137) | 0.592 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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