All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
Mid-American Conference · Worthen Arena · February 22, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -3.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money BALL +138 / KENT -175
Model Predictions
Spread Total BALL win
Actual BALL +12 152 Won
Massey KENT -4.4 (+16.4)
Massey Totals 138.2 (+13.8)
Bradley-Terry 33%
Weighted B-T 31%
Efficiency Plus ML KENT -3.4 (+15.4) 140.6 (+11.4) 38%
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -2.2 (+14.2) 140.2 (+11.8) 39%
Baseline ML KENT -2.2 (+14.2) 141.8 (+10.2) 42%
Baseline Plus ML KENT -2.3 (+14.3) 142.1 (+9.9) 40%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 KENT 7568 BALL
Jan 4, 2025 BALL 7567 KENT
Mar 6, 2024 BALL 7669 KENT
Jan 3, 2024 KENT 8269 BALL
Jan 20, 2023 KENT 8665 BALL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BALL KENT
Overall 20-12 28-7
Conference 11-7 15-3
Home 12-2 15-0
Away 6-7 9-6
Neutral 2-3 4-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 75.0 75.2
Avg Pts Against 72.7 66.5
Massey 1.0 (#151) 9.0 (#60)
Bradley-Terry 0.42 (#134) 1.74 (#49)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.34 (#147) 1.88 (#59)
RPI 0.522 (#137) 0.592 (#31)
Shooting & Four Factors BALL KENT
FG% 46.2% 44.2%
3PT% 37.6% 32.6%
REB / G 35.6 34.9
OREB / G 10.8 10.8
AST / TO 0.99 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.1% 50.6%
TOV% 18.3% 16.6%
ORB% 31.3% 30.4%
FT Rate 29.3% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 46.7%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 23.9%
DRB% 71.8% 69.6%
Opp FT Rate 22.1% 26.0%

Game Analysis

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