Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
Mid-American Conference · Worthen Arena · March 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -3.5 Home covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money BALL +120 / KENT -154
Model Predictions
Spread Total BALL win
Actual BALL +7 145 Won
Massey KENT -2.0 (+9.0) — —
Massey Totals — 146.6 (-1.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 48% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 48% ✗
Baseline Plus ML KENT -2.6 (+9.6) 142.4 (+2.6) 38% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENT -3.2 (+10.2) 140.5 (+4.5) 34% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -2.9 (+9.9) 141.5 (+3.5) 40% ✗
Baseline ML KENT -2.4 (+9.4) 141.7 (+3.3) 40% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 KENT 75 – 68 BALL
Jan 4, 2025 BALL 75 – 67 KENT
Jan 3, 2024 KENT 82 – 69 BALL
Feb 22, 2023 BALL 82 – 70 KENT
Jan 20, 2023 KENT 86 – 65 BALL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BALL KENT
Overall 15-16 17-17
Conference 7-11 8-10
Home 9-7 9-6
Away 6-8 4-9
Neutral 0-1 4-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.0 73.8
Avg Pts Against 72.7 72.0
Massey -5.2 (#265) 0.1 (#163)
Bradley-Terry -0.99 (#279) -0.30 (#207)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.12 (#271) -0.35 (#196)
RPI 0.446 (#289) 0.495 (#185)
Shooting & Four Factors BALL KENT
FG% 43.9% 43.7%
3PT% 36.6% 36.4%
REB / G 34.3 34.4
OREB / G 9.1 11.0
AST / TO 1.01 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 50.9%
TOV% 18.3% 17.5%
ORB% 27.4% 31.3%
FT Rate 29.3% 25.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 16.1% 19.0%
DRB% 72.0% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 20.0% 25.2%

Game Analysis

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