The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Mid-American Conference · Worthen Arena · February 14, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -7.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money BALL +280 / KENT -355
Model Predictions
Spread Total BALL win
Actual KENT +7 143 Lost
Massey KENT -7.8 (+0.8)
Massey Totals 147.8 (-4.8)
Bradley-Terry 10%
Weighted B-T 5%
Efficiency Plus ML KENT -7.7 (+0.7) 143.0 (+0.0) 22%
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -7.0 (+0.0) 137.5 (+5.5) 24%
Baseline ML KENT -6.9 (-0.1) 139.5 (+3.5) 28%
Baseline Plus ML KENT -6.8 (-0.2) 140.7 (+2.3) 29%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 4, 2025 BALL 7567 KENT
Mar 6, 2024 BALL 7669 KENT
Jan 3, 2024 KENT 8269 BALL
Feb 22, 2023 BALL 8270 KENT
Jan 20, 2023 KENT 8665 BALL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BALL KENT
Overall 12-19 24-10
Conference 7-11 14-4
Home 7-7 14-3
Away 4-11 7-6
Neutral 1-1 3-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak W4 L2
Avg Pts For 66.1 82.2
Avg Pts Against 71.4 80.6
Massey -10.0 (#307) 0.8 (#151)
Bradley-Terry -1.76 (#315) 0.99 (#86)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.35 (#322) 1.16 (#92)
RPI 0.408 (#336) 0.576 (#53)
Shooting & Four Factors BALL KENT
FG% 40.0% 44.3%
3PT% 29.9% 34.5%
REB / G 30.5 39.3
OREB / G 9.9 13.5
AST / TO 1.07 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.0% 51.9%
TOV% 16.7% 18.9%
ORB% 27.3% 36.6%
FT Rate 23.1% 33.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.4% 52.3%
Opp TOV% 19.2% 16.1%
DRB% 67.8% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 24.5% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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