But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Mid-American Conference · Worthen Arena · February 14, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -7.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money BALL +280 / KENT -355
Model Predictions
Spread Total BALL win
Actual KENT +7 143 Lost
Massey KENT -7.8 (+0.8) — —
Massey Totals — 147.8 (-4.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 10% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 5% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KENT -6.8 (-0.2) 140.7 (+2.3) 29% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENT -7.7 (+0.7) 143.0 (+0.0) 22% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -7.0 (+0.0) 137.5 (+5.5) 24% ✓
Baseline ML KENT -6.9 (-0.1) 139.5 (+3.5) 28% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 4, 2025 BALL 75 – 67 KENT
Mar 6, 2024 BALL 76 – 69 KENT
Jan 3, 2024 KENT 82 – 69 BALL
Feb 22, 2023 BALL 82 – 70 KENT
Jan 20, 2023 KENT 86 – 65 BALL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BALL KENT
Overall 12-19 24-10
Conference 7-11 14-4
Home 7-7 14-3
Away 4-11 7-6
Neutral 1-1 3-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak W4 L2
Avg Pts For 66.1 82.2
Avg Pts Against 71.4 80.6
Massey -10.0 (#307) 0.8 (#151)
Bradley-Terry -1.76 (#315) 0.99 (#86)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.35 (#322) 1.16 (#92)
RPI 0.408 (#336) 0.576 (#53)
Shooting & Four Factors BALL KENT
FG% 40.0% 44.3%
3PT% 29.9% 34.5%
REB / G 30.5 39.3
OREB / G 9.9 13.5
AST / TO 1.07 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.0% 51.9%
TOV% 16.7% 18.9%
ORB% 27.3% 36.6%
FT Rate 23.1% 33.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.4% 52.3%
Opp TOV% 19.2% 16.1%
DRB% 67.8% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 24.5% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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