Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Mid-American Conference · M.A.C. Center · January 3, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -10.5 Home covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money KENT -600 / BALL +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENT win
Actual KENT +13 151 Won
Massey KENT -12.0 (+1.0)
Massey Totals 146.1 (+4.9)
Bradley-Terry 82%
Weighted B-T 91%
Efficiency Plus ML KENT -10.3 (+2.7) 142.3 (+8.7) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -8.9 (+4.1) 144.4 (+6.6) 82%
Baseline ML KENT -9.1 (+3.9) 145.1 (+5.9) 78%
Baseline Plus ML KENT -8.4 (+4.6) 142.6 (+8.4) 81%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 KENT 7568 BALL
Jan 4, 2025 BALL 7567 KENT
Mar 6, 2024 BALL 7669 KENT
Feb 22, 2023 BALL 8270 KENT
Jan 20, 2023 KENT 8665 BALL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENT BALL
Overall 17-17 15-16
Conference 8-10 7-11
Home 9-6 9-7
Away 4-9 6-8
Neutral 4-2 0-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.8 72.0
Avg Pts Against 72.0 72.7
Massey 2.9 (#123) -4.6 (#254)
Bradley-Terry 0.35 (#142) -0.25 (#202)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.58 (#141) -0.67 (#229)
RPI 0.537 (#115) 0.477 (#219)
Shooting & Four Factors KENT BALL
FG% 43.6% 44.8%
3PT% 35.1% 37.9%
REB / G 35.7 34.2
OREB / G 11.1 9.6
AST / TO 0.94 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.2% 52.1%
TOV% 18.9% 20.4%
ORB% 31.0% 29.6%
FT Rate 29.6% 27.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.0% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 20.1% 15.6%
DRB% 69.1% 74.5%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 18.3%

Game Analysis

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