Betting Lines
| Spread | SAM -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | WCU +550 SAM -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAM +19 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | SAM -14.7 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAM -14.7 (-4.3) | 154.7 (+2.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAM -14.0 (-5.0) | 157.2 (-0.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAM -14.1 (-4.9) | 156.6 (+0.4) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAM -14.1 (-4.9) | 153.5 (+3.5) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SAM 88 – 74 WCU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | SAM 82 – 77 WCU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SAM 93 – 72 WCU |
| Feb 15, 2024 | SAM 88 – 62 WCU |
| Jan 16, 2024 | SAM 75 – 71 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-14 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -14.6 (#352) | 4.2 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.47 (#357) | 1.07 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.57 (#358) | 1.18 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#304) | 0.525 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.8% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 40.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 57.7% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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