Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | WCU -133 SAM +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAM +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | WCU -0.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -3.5 (-7.5) | 151.8 (-5.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -0.3 (-4.3) | 148.9 (-2.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -2.0 (-6.0) | 154.5 (-8.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -2.2 (-6.2) | 153.8 (-7.8) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SAM 88 – 74 WCU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | SAM 82 – 77 WCU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SAM 93 – 72 WCU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SAM 88 – 69 WCU |
| Feb 15, 2024 | SAM 88 – 62 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-3 | 18-0 |
| Away | 10-6 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 84.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#110) | 7.3 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#47) | 1.84 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#70) | 2.11 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#64) | 0.556 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 41.1% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.5% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.