Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -190 SDSU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -2.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -2.5 (-10.5) | 134.6 (+9.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -3.0 (-11.0) | 135.3 (+8.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -2.0 (-10.0) | 134.0 (+10.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -2.6 (-10.6) | 134.6 (+9.4) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BOIS 86 – 77 SDSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SDSU 110 – 107 BOIS |
| Mar 13, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 52 SDSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SDSU 64 – 47 BOIS |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BOIS 79 – 77 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 21-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#56) | 11.8 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#65) | 2.23 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#63) | 2.95 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#58) | 0.622 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 42.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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