Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -115 SDSU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +9 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -1.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -3.4 (+5.6) | 147.9 (+15.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -1.9 (+7.1) | 145.3 (+17.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -2.0 (+7.0) | 146.1 (+16.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -1.1 (+7.9) | 146.6 (+16.4) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | SDSU 110 – 107 BOIS |
| Mar 13, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 52 SDSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SDSU 64 – 47 BOIS |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SDSU 76 – 68 BOIS |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BOIS 79 – 77 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#60) | 11.9 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#62) | 1.82 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#68) | 2.51 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#45) | 0.576 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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